TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on predicting the outcome of a professional Copa del Rey soccer match between Arosa and Pontevedra, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. Bettors can speculate on whether Arosa, Pontevedra, or a tie will occur by the end of the 90-minute match plus any added stoppage time. The resolution excludes outcomes determined in extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets collectively determine the result of the Arosa vs Pontevedra Copa del Rey match after exactly 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. A ‘Yes’ outcome for the Arosa market occurs only if Arosa secures a winning margin before the final whistle of regulation time. Conversely, a ‘Yes’ for Pontevedra requires that team to achieve victory under the same conditions. If neither side achieves a decisive lead and the game concludes equally, the Tie market resolves to ‘Yes’. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at that time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate that the crowd perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more accurate information. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the changing consensus. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular result in the Arosa vs Pontevedra match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the regulation time moneyline – which team wins the match before any extra time or penalty shootouts. The official result declared by the governing body of the league will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome matches the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, especially if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments, and even public sentiment can all contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and refine their predictions about the Arosa vs Pontevedra match.