TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between Army and Tulsa. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of the combined points exceeding specific benchmarks.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Army vs Tulsa college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. For any market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., Over 2.5 points, Over 6.5 points, etc.), it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific outcome thresholds.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds based on public perception and biases. Sportsbooks frequently set initial lines to attract balanced action, while this market allows individuals to express their own independent assessments. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into where the “true” probability might lie, according to the crowd.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information surfaces, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth, indicated by the bid and ask sizes, shows how easily orders can be filled at different price points, providing a sense of liquidity and confidence in the pricing.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the Army vs Tulsa football game will be used to determine whether the total points scored were over or under the relevant threshold. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Army or Tulsa would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also cause movement. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a shift in sentiment, leading to price adjustments in this market.