TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance gap between Army and Tulsa in the first half of their college football game. Outcomes depend on whether Army or Tulsa achieves specific point differentials during the initial 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Army vs Tulsa college football game scheduled for October 23, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold, with outcomes determined by whether Army or Tulsa exceeds that margin in the first half. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can express that view by trading contracts in a direction that moves the price. This can lead to prediction market prices that are more accurate, or at least represent a different perspective on the likely outcome than those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the Army vs Tulsa game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven price that aggregates the beliefs of many individuals.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread at the end of the first half of the Army vs Tulsa game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will pay $100, while those predicting a different spread will expire worthless. The final result will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Army or Tulsa teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable to one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift the perceived probabilities and move the price. Public sentiment and betting trends, as reflected in other sources, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.