TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential between Army and Memphis in their college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Army vs Memphis college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Memphis wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title (e.g., exactly 27.5 points), that market does not resolve as 'Yes.' Markets resolve to 'Yes' only if the winning team exceeds the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning neither 'Yes' nor 'No' outcomes are enforced, and contracts are settled equitably based on prevailing conditions and probabilities at the time of the delay.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or promotional considerations, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines often influence early trading activity. It’s common to see differences, especially in the days following the initial line release, as the market develops its own independent assessment of the likely outcome. Over time, these odds often converge as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Army vs Memphis spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity indicate the level of confidence and disagreement among participants regarding the final spread.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Army vs Memphis game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. No further action is required from market participants; the platform will automatically settle contracts based on the verified game result. Traders do not need to submit any documentation or evidence to claim their winnings.
Several factors could influence the Army vs Memphis spread market. News regarding key player injuries on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather forecasts could also impact the perceived probabilities. Public sentiment, as reflected in betting trends and media coverage, can also play a role. Any significant updates related to team performance or overall game conditions are likely to be reflected in the trading activity of this market, potentially leading to shifts in the odds.