TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game between Army and Memphis, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game. This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Army and Memphis, scheduled for October 31 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game. This market will resolve to "Memphis" if Memphis win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it might suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly the price adjusts to new information or changing sentiment. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in the various possible results.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Army vs. Memphis game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will occur shortly after the game's completion, allowing sufficient time to verify the results and settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official announcements for the definitive outcome that will trigger market closure.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Army or Memphis teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts, or even public sentiment expressed through social media could also shift trader beliefs and move the market. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or player availability are also potential catalysts. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.