TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Army Black Knights vs. Duke Blue Devils
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Army Black Knights vs Duke Blue Devils?

Total volume:
$154,018
Volume 24h:
$102,215
271%
Liquidity:
$43,515
168%
Open interest:
$147,652
212%

Duke

 - Kalshi

Duke - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 02h:46m:47s

Duke wins

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Duke

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
$8,523
3%
57%
$7,511
2h 46m
Active
kalshi

Army

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$141,566
171%
1,317%
$140,141
2h 46m
Active
predict

Army Black Knights vs. Duke Blue Devils

Trade
1%
95%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$24
$120
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
polymarket

Army Black Knights vs. Duke Blue Devils

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.6¢
—
$43,491
$3,809
97%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.3¢
Avg: —Max: —
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of the NCAA Men's Basketball game between the Army Black Knights and the Duke Blue Devils, scheduled for November 2nd. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory, resolving 'Yes' regardless of which team wins. Polymarket correctly defines resolution based on the winning team.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as it offers a standard win/loss resolution. Avoid Kalshi due to its illogical settlement criteria.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to "Army Black Knights" if Army wins and "Duke Blue Devils" if Duke wins. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Army or Duke wins the game. This is a logically flawed outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Army Black Knights and Duke Blue Devils on November 2 at 6:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Markets resolve according to the official winner of the Army vs Duke men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi has no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Army Black Knights and Duke Blue Devils on November 2 at 6:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Army vs. Duke football game from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $151,552, with $97,555 traded in the last 24 hours. It provides a consensus view of the probability of different outcomes, allowing you to see how traders are collectively assessing the likelihood of each team winning. The dashboard helps visualize the overall market sentiment and track shifts in expectations as new information becomes available. It’s a central place to monitor the predictive wisdom of the crowd.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how each is determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individuals trading on Polymarket and Kalshi. This means prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, as they reflect a broader range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbooks typically offer higher limits and faster payouts. Both can be valuable tools for informed decision-making, but they operate under different incentives and mechanisms.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Differences in trading volume, user base, and market-specific rules all contribute. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can impact price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Army Black Knights vs. Duke Blue Devils at 0.9%, while Kalshi leans toward Duke wins at 99.0%, illustrating this variance in market sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official final score of the Army vs. Duke football game as reported by official sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning prediction. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the market’s payout structure at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations. Unexpected weather forecasts or changes in game location could also play a role. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also impact trading activity. Major upsets in other college football games might influence perceptions of team strength, and late-breaking news about team morale or strategy could also move the market.