TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Armenia vs. Cyprus
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Armenia vs. Cyprus?

Total volume:
$191
Volume 24h:
$85
174%
Liquidity:
$4,470
6%
Open interest:
$107
20%

Armenia

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:22h:51m

Armenia wins

40%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 45¢ buys you 222 shares | Odds: 40% Total Payout: $222 | Net Profit: $122 Multiplier: 2.22x | ROI: 122% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Armenia

Trade
40%
6%
Yes 45¢No 63¢
8¢
N/A
$169
95%
N/A
$85
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Armenia

Trade
44%
1%
Yes 48¢No 61¢
9¢
$1,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
40%
Yes 45¢No 63¢
Avg: 8.5¢Max: 9¢
kalshi

Cyprus

Trade
33%
Yes 33¢No 75¢
8¢
N/A
$3
0%
N/A
$3
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Cyprus

Trade
30%
Yes 34¢No 74¢
8¢
$1,447
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
33%
Yes 33¢No 75¢
Avg: 8¢Max: 8¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
29%
Yes 31¢No 75¢
6¢
N/A
$19
0%
N/A
$19
1w 2d 22h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Armenia vs. Cyprus)

Trade
28%
Yes 33¢No 78¢
11¢
$1,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
29%
Yes 31¢No 75¢
Avg: 8.5¢Max: 11¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Armenia and Cyprus scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets ask whether Armenia will win, Cyprus will win, or the game will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed abandonment rules that could lead to 'No' resolutions for win markets, while Kalshi lacks explicit abandonment rules and appears to require a definitive outcome (win, loss, or draw).Hero tip: Be aware that Polymarket's markets could resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled or abandoned, even if a result seems likely. Kalshi markets require a clear outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, Armenia/Cyprus win markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'. Resolution is based on official rulings or the result as played if abandoned.
  • Kalshi: If Armenia wins, the Armenia win market resolves to 'Yes'. If Cyprus wins, the Cyprus win market resolves to 'Yes'. If the game is a tie, the tie market resolves to 'Yes'. No specific rules are provided for cancellations or abandoned games.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Armenia and Cyprus, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

If Armenia wins the Armenia vs Cyprus professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Cyprus wins the Armenia vs Cyprus professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Armenia vs Cyprus professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Armenia vs. Cyprus match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $191, with $85 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects a consensus view derived from traders’ predictions on each platform. Polymarket currently favors Will Armenia win on 2026-11-12? at 43.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Armenia wins at 40.0%. The dashboard provides a unified view of these probabilities, allowing you to see where the market currently stands.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market reflects the collective intelligence of many individual traders. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. The difference, or 3.5, can be an indicator of where the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the outcome. It’s important to compare both to inform your decisions.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has a different user base, trading incentives, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform may not be identical, leading to differing probabilities. For example, one platform might offer a market on the outright winner, while the other offers markets on specific events within the match. These nuances contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both reflect predictions about the same underlying event.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Armenia vs. Cyprus match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official sources that provide the final score and match result. This ensures a transparent and verifiable process for settling this market, reflecting the actual outcome of the game as reported by trusted authorities.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 12, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Armenia or Cyprus would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Changes in team form, unexpected tactical decisions announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can indicate informed traders taking positions, potentially triggering further movement in the market. Monitoring these factors can help you understand the dynamic nature of predictions.