TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 1:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Arlanda and Eskilstuna. Bettors can speculate on whether Arlanda, Eskilstuna, or a tied result will occur by the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Arlanda vs Eskilstuna professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three possible outcomes are considered: Arlanda win, Eskilstuna win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of standard playing time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s pricing is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It’s common to see convergence as the event approaches, but differences can persist, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current price reflects the aggregated views of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arlanda vs Eskilstuna match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The precise details of how the result is determined are based on standard practices for sports event outcomes.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, or changes in coaching staff for either Arlanda or Eskilstuna could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also impact trading activity. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in social media or other polls, might also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential catalysts for changes in this market.