TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different scoring threshold for one of the teams, allowing participants to speculate on whether the team will exceed that specific point total.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by each team in the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores strictly more than the listed threshold (e.g., over 9.5 points), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each type of market operates. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Arkansas-Vanderbilt matchup.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point ranges. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective prediction. The market’s price discovery process allows for a dynamic assessment of the potential combined score of Arkansas and Vanderbilt, driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for Arkansas and Vanderbilt will be sourced from official game statistics, and the market will settle based on whether the actual combined score falls within the ranges defined by the contracts traded on Kalshi. The resolution will reflect the objectively determined combined points scored during the game, as reported by official sources.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Arkansas or Vanderbilt teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could alter the collective prediction reflected in this market.