TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of a college football game between Arkansas and Vanderbilt. It specifically evaluates performance from halftime onward, including any overtime periods, to decide the winner for that segment of play.
If Vanderbilt wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that prediction market participants have access to information not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines, or simply have a different interpretation of the available data. It’s common to see convergence as the event draws nearer, but differences can persist.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of Vanderbilt winning the 2nd half. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for Vanderbilt, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the second half of the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official game statistics and reporting to ensure accuracy. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Live game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing by one team, would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected line movements in traditional sportsbooks could also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning the second half has the potential to move this market.