TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of Vanderbilt and Arkansas in the second half of their college football game, focusing on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for resolution.
All markets resolve based on the points scored solely during the second half (including overtime) of the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold; if Vanderbilt or Arkansas meets or exceeds their respective threshold in the second half, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation with the NCAA is claimed, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders have information or perspectives that sportsbooks haven't fully incorporated. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more a particular spread is traded, the more reliable its price becomes as an indicator of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the Arkansas-Vanderbilt football game's second half spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final point difference between the two teams at the end of the second half. No further information is available regarding the specific process beyond this general timing and outcome verification.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arkansas or Vanderbilt teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant showing by one team, could shift traders' expectations and alter the price of contracts in this market.