TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Arkansas and Vanderbilt in the first half of their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed specific values.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. For each market, if the combined score exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 6.5, 9.5 points, etc.), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Only points scored in the first half count toward resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the probability that the total points scored in the first half will be *below* that value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, analysis, and their own predictions, leading to price fluctuations. The more traders believe a certain outcome is likely, the higher the price for that outcome will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first half total points scored in the Arkansas versus Vanderbilt game will be used to determine whether the market settles above or below the final market price. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arkansas or Vanderbilt teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public perception based on pre-game analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before it resolves.