TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Arkansas will win its college football game against Vanderbilt. Currently, Kalshi gives Arkansas a 69.0% probability of winning, while Vanderbilt is at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt college football game originally scheduled for October 16, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 16, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Arkansas vs Vanderbilt college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Vanderbilt wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Arkansas wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the original time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions. These differences can create opportunities for arbitrage, where traders capitalize on price variations between the two types of markets. Comparing the two can provide a broader understanding of expectations surrounding the Arkansas-Vanderbilt football game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Arkansas-Vanderbilt football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official result will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final price of their contract at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the game to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result and therefore the market’s resolution.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Arkansas or Vanderbilt team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes, significant weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even major news regarding team morale could also influence trader behavior. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market represents a distinct view based on financial commitment. Any development that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning will likely be reflected in the price of contracts.