TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Texas A&M. The outcome depends solely on the performance of each team during the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If Texas A&M wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arkansas vs Texas A&M college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arkansas vs Texas A&M college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Arkansas vs Texas A&M college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or early sportsbook lines, though there can be discrepancies. It’s important to compare both to form your own informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in a particular outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the 4th quarter. The current price essentially represents the market’s consensus forecast for the event.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the 4th quarter of the Arkansas vs Texas A&M game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and official results will be used to determine which team secured victory in the final period. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arkansas or Texas A&M team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the odds. Furthermore, in-game performance during the earlier quarters of the game, and any strategic adjustments made by the coaches, could all lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.