TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Arkansas vs. Texas A&M
polymarket
predict
kalshi

What is the result of Arkansas vs. Texas A&M?

Volume:
$2,071,837

Texas A&M

 - Kalshi

Texas A&M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 10:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas A&M

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$486,992
N/A
N/A
$335,891
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,238
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -21.5

100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,741
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,107
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -20.5

100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,040
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$805
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$298
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

100%
24%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -24.5

100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H O/U 30.5

100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Texas A&M 1H O/U 16.5

100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

100%
27%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -22.5

100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -6.5

100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Arkansas vs. Texas A&M

5%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
—
$17,348
$618
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Arkansas vs. Texas A&M

0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,114
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 232

Intro

This market tracks the total touchdowns scored by Texas A&M in their upcoming college football game against Arkansas. Currently, the consensus probability that Texas A&M will score Over 3.5 touchdowns is 100.0%, while the probability of Over 4.5 touchdowns is 19.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution based on official results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes a tie outcome (50/50 split), while Kalshi does not, effectively making it a 'will either team win?' market.Hero tip: Be mindful that Kalshi's market will resolve to 'Yes' even if the game ends in a tie, whereas Polymarket will split the probability 50/50 in that scenario. Consider this when comparing probabilities across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'Arkansas' if Arkansas wins, 'Texas A&M' if Texas A&M wins, or 50/50 if the game ends in a tie. 'If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Texas A&M wins, and 'Yes' if Arkansas wins. 'If Texas A&M wins the Arkansas vs Texas A&M college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas wins the Arkansas vs Texas A&M college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Texas A&M, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the winner of the Arkansas vs Texas A&M college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the contest is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be canceled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market settles at a fair price rather than assigning a definitive win to either participant. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Texas A&M, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, both types of odds aim to predict the same outcome – the result of the Arkansas vs. Texas A&M game – and can be valuable tools for informed decision-making.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on the outcome of the Arkansas vs. Texas A&M game, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in mechanics, along with varying user bases and liquidity, can create price discrepancies. Furthermore, information flow and interpretation can differ between the platforms, leading to divergent expectations. The volume of $2,071,837 suggests active trading, but the distribution of that volume across platforms contributes to these price variations.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could all significantly impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes in the Arkansas vs. Texas A&M game. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media, could also drive price movements. Any developments that alter the competitive landscape have the potential to move this market before it resolves.