TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total touchdowns scored by Texas A&M in their upcoming college football game against Arkansas. Currently, the consensus probability that Texas A&M will score Over 3.5 touchdowns is 100.0%, while the probability of Over 4.5 touchdowns is 19.0%. This aggregated view combines data from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, with resolution based on official results reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Texas A&M, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the winner of the Arkansas vs Texas A&M college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If the contest is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. Should the game be canceled or fail to start within the 48-hour window, the market settles at a fair price rather than assigning a definitive win to either participant. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas and Texas A&M, scheduled for October 3 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas" if Arkansas win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas A&M" if Texas A&M win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on the outcome of the Arkansas vs. Texas A&M game, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in mechanics, along with varying user bases and liquidity, can create price discrepancies. Furthermore, information flow and interpretation can differ between the platforms, leading to divergent expectations. The volume of $2,071,837 suggests active trading, but the distribution of that volume across platforms contributes to these price variations.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could all significantly impact the perceived likelihood of different outcomes in the Arkansas vs. Texas A&M game. Major shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media, could also drive price movements. Any developments that alter the competitive landscape have the potential to move this market before it resolves.