TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers the outcome of a college football game between Arkansas State and Southern Miss, scheduled for October 17th. Markets exist on the winner of the game, the point spread, and various statistical occurrences during the game, such as total points scored, touchdowns, and field goals.
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and Southern Miss, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game. This market will resolve to "Southern Miss" if Southern Miss win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event resolves based on the result of the Arkansas St. vs Southern Miss college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026. If Southern Miss wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Arkansas St. wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original time, both markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, both markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and Southern Miss, scheduled for October 17 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game. This market will resolve to "Southern Miss" if Southern Miss win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Differences in prices between Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can arise due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk tolerances and predictive insights, leading to distinct market dynamics. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform – reflected in their respective volumes – can influence price formation. These factors combine to create independent price discovery processes, even for the same underlying event.
Several signals could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arkansas State or Southern Miss would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is anticipated, could also move the market. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale might also affect predictions. Finally, large trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi could indicate new information or a shift in sentiment, causing prices to adjust.