TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 11:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and Louisiana, scheduled for October 3 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisiana" if Louisiana win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Arkansas State and Louisiana, scheduled for October 3 at 8:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arkansas State" if Arkansas State win the game. This market will resolve to "Louisiana" if Louisiana win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, creating a real-time forecast. The market’s efficiency depends on active trading and the availability of information.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Arkansas State vs. Louisiana game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify the result and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information and established sporting results.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected weather conditions could shift the probabilities. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or significant changes in public sentiment, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team morale or strategic adjustments could lead to price movements as traders react to new information. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential shifts in the market before Oct 4, 2026.