TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams compete in a match scheduled for October 16, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures a victory in the game. The contest reflects the competitive dynamics typical of collegiate sports.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Arkansas St. vs Southern Miss college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Southern Miss wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Arkansas St. wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, as the collective wisdom of the crowd on Kalshi may weigh factors differently than sportsbook algorithms. It's common to see this market reflect public sentiment and potentially identify value discrepancies relative to initial sportsbook lines, though these can converge as game day approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders directly buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of that outcome's probability. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, creating a fluid and responsive market for the Arkansas St. vs Southern Miss game.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Arkansas St. vs Southern Miss game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official results following the game’s completion to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Key injuries to star players on either the Arkansas St. or Southern Miss teams would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected coaching changes, weather forecasts impacting game conditions, or even significant news regarding team morale could all move the market. Changes in public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also drive trading volume and price adjustments on Kalshi as traders react to new information.