TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. Jackson State Tigers (W)
Volume:
$250,703
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions and Jackson State Tigers scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Arkansas-Pine Bluff win and Jackson State win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents fair settlement.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi version of this market. The resolution logic is broken and cannot distinguish between the two outcomes. Use Polymarket exclusively, which has clear binary resolution: one team wins and resolves to that team's name, the other team loses and resolves to the opponent's name.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Arkansas-Pine Bluff win resolves to Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions; Jackson State win resolves to Jackson State Tigers. Postponement keeps market open until completion; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: If the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions win, the market will resolve to Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions. If the Jackson State Tigers win, the market will resolve to Jackson State Tigers.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory structure where both outcomes resolve identically to Yes. Both If Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins and If Jackson St. wins statements conclude then the market resolves to Yes, creating an impossible resolution scenario. Key Quote: If Arkansas-Pine Bluff wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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