TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears (W)
Volume:
$116,226
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Arizona Wildcats and Baylor Bears scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets resolve based on the final score including overtime, with provisions for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Baylor win and Arizona win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform clarifies the resolution logic. The Polymarket version provides clear, mutually exclusive outcomes. If you have open positions on Kalshi, contact support immediately to understand the intended resolution mechanism.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary outcome market with clear mutually exclusive resolutions: Arizona Wildcats win resolves to Arizona Wildcats; Baylor Bears win resolves to Baylor Bears. Includes edge case handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contains logical contradiction: states both "If Baylor wins the game... resolves to Yes" AND "If Arizona wins the game... resolves to Yes". This creates an impossible resolution scenario where both outcomes map to the same value, violating binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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