TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Arizona wins by over 1.5 points
- Kalshi
Arizona wins by over 1.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 06h:44m:12s
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These markets track various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming men's college basketball game between Arizona and UCLA. Each market corresponds to different margin thresholds, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed specific point differentials.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Arizona vs UCLA men's college basketball game scheduled for Nov 2, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified point margin defined in each individual market rule. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the point spread condition.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's a useful comparison point for informed analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Arizona vs UCLA game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely outcome, and the volume shows how much conviction traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Arizona vs UCLA game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual point spread falls within the range defined by the contracts purchased, and to 0 otherwise. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or UCLA teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather forecasts could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in the game's location could also have a substantial impact. As the game approaches, any new information that alters perceptions of each team's chances will likely be reflected in the market price.