TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 129.5 points
- Kalshi
Over 129.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 04h:51m:38s
$
This event tracks whether a specific college basketball game will exceed various point thresholds, allowing participants to speculate on the game's offensive output. The outcome depends solely on the combined score of both teams, with different thresholds defining separate betting options. All markets are subject to resolution based on the official game result, with provisions for postponements or cancellations.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total points scored in the Arizona vs UCLA men's college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score exceeds the specified point total. For all markets, if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, trading remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent, with each threshold assessed separately against the game's final score.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see the price of contracts in this market adjust as new information becomes available, and as more people trade, potentially leading to a more accurate prediction than early sportsbook offerings. However, sportsbook odds represent a different perspective and can be valuable for comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific point total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective belief of all participants in the market, creating a real-time forecast of the Arizona vs UCLA point total. The market’s price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point total of the Arizona vs UCLA game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine which contracts pay out. The contracts representing the actual point total will settle at 100, while all other contracts will settle to 0. Traders will be able to view the final settlement price on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or UCLA teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions that favor a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also shift market sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.