TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the game.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by each team in the Arizona vs Texas Tech college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more points than the stated threshold (e.g., Texas Tech over 9.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds listed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the difference in pricing between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a team will score over or under a specific point total. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for Texas Tech over 23.5 points scored, though the chance percentage is not currently available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Arizona vs Texas Tech game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official scores will be used to determine whether each team exceeded or fell short of their respective point totals. The market will then settle based on those results, paying out to traders who correctly predicted the team totals. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final scores to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either Arizona or Texas Tech would likely have a significant impact. Game day weather conditions could also play a role, particularly if they affect the style of play. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Public perception, influenced by expert analysis and media coverage, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.