TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of Arizona and Texas Tech in the second half of their college football game, focusing specifically on the point differential between the two teams during that period.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Arizona vs Texas Tech college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the designated margin. Only points scored in the second half count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It's common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected outcome of the second half between Arizona and Texas Tech.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall in that range. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is for Texas Tech winning the second half by over 7.5 points, though the chance percentage is not currently available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second half of the Arizona vs Texas Tech game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or Texas Tech teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategy or unexpected performance during the first half of the game could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and cause the price to move. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how the market is reacting to new information and potentially identify trading opportunities.