TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Texas Tech will win its college football game against Arizona. Currently, Kalshi gives Texas Tech a 99.0% probability of winning. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Arizona vs Texas Tech game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Arizona currently has a 1.0% probability of winning on Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Texas Tech wins the game scheduled to conclude by the resolution date of October 31, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if either Arizona or Texas Tech wins the game originally scheduled for October 30, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open and resolves based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when considering the 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and offer a common benchmark for comparison, and differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and market participants. It's useful to consider both when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there's always a bid and ask price available, facilitating continuous trading and price discovery. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants trading in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Arizona vs Texas Tech game, as officially reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result and settle all outstanding contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. Keep an eye on the resolution timeline as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Oct 31, 2026 resolution. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance during other games could all shift trader sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, although the market is driven by actual trading activity. Major upsets in related games, or even weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, could also cause fluctuations in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help anticipate potential price movements.