TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points
- Kalshi
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 8, 2026
Time left: 06d:03h:04m
$
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively one team will win over the other. The outcomes depend entirely on the final score of the match, reflecting the competitive balance between the two teams.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the Arizona vs Seattle Pro Football game scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. If Seattle wins by exceeding the specified point margin listed in any market, that market resolves to Yes; if Arizona wins by exceeding its listed margin, that corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team meets their respective margin thresholds, all markets resolve to No. The outcome is determined exclusively by the official game result, with no ties or cancellations affecting resolution beyond standard league rulings. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin for themselves, while Kalshi allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more favorable odds than traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more informed traders participate. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds-makers in accuracy, as they aggregate diverse opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Arizona vs Seattle spread, and the price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts predicting a particular outcome, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event draws nearer.
This market resolves around Nov 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Arizona vs Seattle game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the final price of their contracts at the time of resolution. The market's resolution is independent of any pre-game analysis or predictions; it is solely determined by the actual game result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Arizona or Seattle teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's conditions, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could lead to adjustments in the price of contracts. Public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, though to a lesser extent than concrete developments.