TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players or defensive units score at least one touchdown during an upcoming football game between Arizona and New York. Each market focuses on different participants, evaluating their performance in terms of scoring touches.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified player or defensive unit scores at least one touchdown during the Arizona vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If a participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on whether they scored a touchdown during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of touchdown-scoring performance for each designated participant.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. However, there can be discrepancies due to differing information, risk tolerance, and market dynamics. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the total number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new data and provide a forward-looking assessment of the game’s potential scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Arizona vs New York game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of touchdowns scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Arizona or New York teams would be significant, as they directly impact scoring potential. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, with adverse weather potentially leading to a lower-scoring game. Unexpected news regarding team strategies or coaching changes could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information or analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could move this market before Oct 4, 2026.