TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of each team in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether they achieve specific yardage thresholds. Bettors can speculate on how effectively Arizona or New York will move the ball during the match. The outcomes depend purely on the teams' statistical production in terms of total offensive yards.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards accumulated by either Arizona or New York G in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold (ranging from 250 to 450 yards) that, if met or exceeded by the respective team, results in a 'Yes' settlement. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific yardage outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event, as traders weigh various factors influencing the total yards achieved in the Arizona vs New York game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price changes. The market depth – the number of buy and sell orders at different price points – indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the total yards in the Arizona vs New York game. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards achieved by both the Arizona and New York teams will be sourced from official game statistics. This includes all passing and rushing yards accumulated during the game. The market will settle based on the verified total, determining which contracts pay out based on whether the actual total yards fall above or below the market’s implied threshold. Traders will be able to view the official result on Kalshi following the game’s conclusion.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on either the Arizona or New York teams are major catalysts, as they directly affect offensive capabilities. Changes in weather conditions, particularly wind or rain, could influence passing and rushing strategies, shifting expectations for total yardage. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or team strategies could also move the market. Finally, any significant public statements from analysts or experts offering revised predictions for the game’s total yardage could influence trader behavior and cause price fluctuations in this market.