TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on predicting whether a specific NFL team will achieve a certain number of sacks in an upcoming game. Sacks are counted based on official game statistics, excluding those made during two-point conversion attempts. The outcomes reflect defensive performance in terms of stopping the opposing team's quarterback.
These markets resolve based on the total number of sacks recorded by either Arizona or New York G in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of sacks (ranging from 2 to 6) for a given team, with the market settling 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. Sacks recorded during two-point conversion attempts are excluded from the count. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within the 48-hour window, the markets will settle at a fair price, taking into account all available information up to that point. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market can react more quickly and efficiently than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see the two diverge, especially as the event draws closer and more participants weigh in.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the number of sacks. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a higher sack total, the price for those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, making it a real-time assessment of potential game events.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of sacks in the Arizona versus New York game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key defensive players on either team would be a major catalyst, as would any changes to the expected weather conditions. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or player matchups could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could shift perceptions and move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential price movements before Oct 4, 2026.