TOTAL VOLUME:
$155.3b
24H VOL:
$358,270,487
24H TRANSACTIONS:
3,002,125,488
OPEN INTEREST:
$2,041,693,191
423,163
Markets across
39,982
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,387
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific player in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether he reaches various rushing yard thresholds. It allows participants to speculate on the player's potential output during the match.
All markets resolve based on whether Cam Skattebo achieves specified rushing yard thresholds in the Arizona vs New York G game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If Skattebo is active but does not take a snap, markets settle at the pre-game fair market price. Once he takes at least one snap — even if nullified by penalty — settlement depends solely on the total rushing yards he records during the game. All markets operate independently with increasing yardage thresholds from 40 to 140+ yards.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust the price based on new information and evolving opinions. This can lead to prediction market prices being more accurate, especially as the event approaches. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may incorporate biases or promotional considerations not present in a purely probabilistic market like this one.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The closer the event gets, the more active trading typically becomes, and the price will converge towards a more definitive probability as more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals for both the Arizona and New York teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will determine whether the total rushing yards exceed or fall below the threshold defined by the contract. Traders will then be able to collect payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which can affect running game strategies. News regarding coaching decisions or offensive line changes could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, price adjustments in this market.