TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Arizona vs New York G: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Arizona vs New York?

Volume:
$32,980

Michael Wilson

 - Kalshi

Michael Wilson - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:39 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michael Wilson

View
13%
3%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$31,097
N/A
N/A
$20,779
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Isaiah Likely

13%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Trey McBride

13%
Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Malik Nabers

8%
Yes 7.9¢No 92.1¢
—
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Marvin Harrison Jr.

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$805
N/A
N/A
$805
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Cam Skattebo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Jeremiyah Love

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$500
N/A
N/A
$500
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 7

Description

This set of markets tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, with payouts scaling based on performance thresholds. Each player's market offers different returns depending on how many receptions they make during the match.

Kalshi

Each market operates as a scalar prediction mechanism focused on the number of receptions achieved by individual players in the specified football game. For every player market, Yes contracts pay out according to a predefined schedule that increases with the number of receptions, capped at $1.00 for 14 or more receptions. The payout formula for Yes contracts is calculated as floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where 's' represents the official number of receptions. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the corresponding Yes payout. All Yes payouts are limited to a maximum of $1.00, and each market resolves to Yes based on the actual reception count compared against the schedule. The structure ensures that payouts increase non-linearly with performance, rewarding higher reception totals with progressively larger returns.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Arizona vs New York receptions market displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities of different reception totals are changing in real-time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $32,980, with $12,828 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard also highlights the most popular outcomes as determined by traders on Kalshi, allowing you to quickly gauge market sentiment.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely number of receptions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional odds.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for players in the Arizona vs New York game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any relevant data used for verification on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.

Several factors could influence the Arizona vs New York receptions market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be significant catalysts, as they directly impact the potential for receptions. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and thus reception totals. Unexpected starting lineup changes or shifts in offensive play-calling could also cause the market to react. Any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could also move this market before Oct 4, 2026.