TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined receiving yard milestones. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by specified players during the Arizona vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. A market resolves to Yes only if the named player records the exact threshold or more receiving yards in that game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual receiving yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each named player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against the specified yardage targets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the market’s life, as traders incorporate their own analysis and insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different receiving yardage totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. Buying a contract is a bet that the actual receiving yards will exceed the contract's value, while selling is a bet that they will fall short. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates these transactions, and the final market price reflects the collective expectation of all participants regarding the total receiving yards in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage total for both teams combined will be sourced from official game statistics. This total will be compared to the contracts traded on Kalshi to determine payouts. Successful contracts will pay out $1.00 per contract, while losing contracts will result in the forfeiture of the initial investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key wide receivers or tight ends for either the Arizona or New York teams – such as injuries, changes in playing time, or favorable/unfavorable matchups – would likely cause price fluctuations. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence passing game strategies and, consequently, receiving yardage. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive schemes could also move the market as traders adjust their expectations based on new information.