TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Arizona vs New York G: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of Arizona vs New York?

Volume:
$3,616

Malik Nabers: over 21.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Malik Nabers: over 21.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:35 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Malik Nabers: over 21.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$863
N/A
N/A
$863
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Isaiah Likely: over 18.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Malachi Fields: over 16.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$42
N/A
N/A
$42
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Michael Wilson: over 20.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marvin Harrison Jr.: over 18.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,130
N/A
N/A
$1,130
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeremiyah Love: over 8.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,061
N/A
N/A
$806
Settled
No
kalshi

Cam Skattebo: over 9.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
$160
Settled
No
kalshi

Darnell Mooney: over 15.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
No
kalshi

Kendrick Bourne: over 13.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
kalshi

Trey McBride: over 21.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event tracks whether specific players achieve a notable longest reception during an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on individual players and their performance benchmarks, reflecting potential standout plays in the contest.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple player-specific markets to determine if any listed athlete records a longest reception exceeding their designated yardage threshold in the Arizona vs New York G game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different player and a unique yardage benchmark. If the designated player records a reception longer than the specified threshold during the game, that particular market resolves affirmatively. A secondary rule clarifies that if a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined solely by whether their longest reception meets or exceeds the set threshold. These provisions ensure clarity in resolving each market based on actual in-game performance while accounting for player participation status.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest reception market tracks the current prices for each player to have the longest reception in the Arizona versus New York game. You'll find the implied probabilities based on trading activity, a price history chart to visualize how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $3,135. The total volume traded on this market is $3,616. This allows you to monitor market sentiment and potential shifts in expectations regarding which player is most likely to achieve the longest reception.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it might indicate the market believes a sportsbook is mispricing a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event happening, and differences can arise due to varying information and analytical approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each player’s likelihood of having the longest reception. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of probabilities based on collective intelligence. This differs from fixed-odds betting where the odds are set by a bookmaker.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official game statistics will be used to determine which player had the longest reception during the Arizona versus New York game. The player with the longest officially recorded reception will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on data released by the NFL and verified by Kalshi’s processes.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor a passing or running game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any pre-game analysis from reputable sports analysts suggesting a shift in expected performance for certain players could sway market sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can quickly shift prices, reflecting a sudden change in collective belief.