TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of quarterback Jacoby Brissett in a specific football game between Arizona and New York. Each market evaluates whether Brissett achieves a minimum number of passing touchdowns during the game, offering different thresholds for resolution.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns Jacoby Brissett records in the Arizona vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+ passing touchdowns) that must be met or exceeded for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If Brissett is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle to their fair market price as determined before the game starts. Once Brissett takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle based on the actual number of passing touchdowns he records during the game. The outcome is strictly determined by Brissett’s performance; no other player’s statistics or external factors influence the resolution. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading, or simply a divergence in how each assesses the likelihood of a particular result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the Arizona versus New York game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the outcome is officially confirmed, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either team, particularly the quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they predict adverse conditions that could hinder passing attacks, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions related to the passing game could shift expectations and affect the prices in this market. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators could also play a role.