TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

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Arizona vs New York G: Passing Completions
kalshi

What is the result of Arizona vs New York?

Volume:
$7,460

Jameis Winston: 14+

 - Kalshi

Jameis Winston: 14+ - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 3:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jameis Winston: 14+

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
$437
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett: 19+

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$449
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jameis Winston: 24+

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,742
N/A
N/A
$2,738
Settled
No
kalshi

Jameis Winston: 19+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,081
N/A
N/A
$1,856
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett: 24+

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,688
N/A
N/A
$1,680
Settled
No
kalshi

Jacoby Brissett: 29+

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the performance of specific quarterbacks in a professional football game between Arizona and New York. It focuses on whether designated players achieve certain thresholds of passing completions during the match. The outcome depends entirely on the actual game statistics for the named athletes.

Kalshi

All markets in this event resolve based on the number of passing completions achieved by specified quarterbacks—Jameis Winston or Jacoby Brissett—during the Arizona vs New York G Professional Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market has a distinct completion threshold (14+, 19+, 24+, or 29+). If the named quarterback meets or exceeds the threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once the quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules ensure that markets reflect real-game performance while accounting for potential last-minute roster changes or inactive status.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Arizona vs New York passing market tracks the current price of contracts representing different numbers of passing completions in the game. You can view the historical price action, allowing you to analyze how traders’ expectations have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $5,126, and the total overall volume traded to date, which is $7,460. This provides insight into the level of interest and activity surrounding this particular market.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Arizona vs New York game.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing specific passing completion totals. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s expectation, with higher prices suggesting a greater perceived probability of that completion total occurring. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final number of passing completions and trading accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions recorded by the official game statistics will determine the winning contract. It’s important to note that the resolution is based solely on the official data and not on any subjective interpretations or unofficial sources. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the game progresses to understand the potential impact on this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before the game concludes. Key signals include any news regarding injuries to starting quarterbacks or key receivers for either the Arizona or New York teams. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also significantly impact passing game strategies and, therefore, the market. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment or late-breaking analysis from sports analysts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.