TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:25 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on individual player performance in a specific football game, calculating payouts based on fantasy points scored. Each contract's return depends on the exact number of points a player accumulates, with precise rounding and payment structures defined for both outcomes.
Each market determines payouts based on the Points Per Reception (PPR) fantasy points scored by a specified player during the Arizona vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, using Sleeper's weekly standard PPR totals. For each market, the Yes contract pays $0.01 per fantasy point scored, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. If a player does not receive a fantasy-point figure from Sleeper for the specified week, they are considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, with examples provided for various point totals to illustrate the rounding and constraint logic.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants on Kalshi, and can fluctuate rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The more volume traded, the more confidence one can have in the price signal.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy ladder scores for players in the Arizona vs New York game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. The resolution will be based on official statistics and data sources, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and settlement details on Kalshi following the completion of the game and data verification.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected performance in prior games could influence trader sentiment. Major shifts in public perception, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, can also impact prices. Additionally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 4, 2026.