TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes in the first half and the full game of a professional football match. Each market requires both the first half result and the final game result to match a particular scenario for the market to settle positively.
The markets resolve based on the combined outcomes of both the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Arizona vs New York G Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, it resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each requiring precise alignment of both half and full game outcomes to settle positively.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying information sources and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or breaking news related to the Arizona vs New York game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market is driven by supply and demand; traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards the true probability of each outcome for the Arizona vs New York game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Arizona vs New York game—specifically, the 1st Half / Fulltime Result—will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Major upsets in other games involving these teams could also influence perceptions of their relative strengths. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by trading activity on Kalshi. Unexpected announcements related to coaching changes or team dynamics could also cause significant movement in this market.