TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential of an upcoming professional football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. Each market corresponds to a specific range of points by which either team could win. The outcome depends entirely on the final score of the game, including any overtime periods.
The markets collectively determine the outcome based on the point differential between Arizona and Los Angeles in their full game, including overtime, scheduled for October 18, 2026. A 'Yes' resolution occurs if the winning team's point differential falls within any of the specified ranges: Los Angeles winning by exactly 0, 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points; or Arizona winning by 1-6, 7-14, or 15+ points. If neither team meets any of these conditions—for example, if the game ends in a tie not covered by the 'exactly 0 points' rule for Los Angeles, or if the winning margin falls outside all defined ranges—the markets resolve to 'No.' The secondary rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are set by analysts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. Over time, as more information becomes available and more traders participate, the prices in this market tend to become highly accurate predictors of the actual outcome. It’s common to see prediction market prices converge towards the true probability as the event approaches, potentially offering different value than traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final winning margin between Arizona and Los Angeles will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the relevant sporting authority, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been verified.
Several factors could significantly influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift expectations. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the event, or significant shifts in public sentiment, could also impact trading activity. Major announcements related to team dynamics or player availability are likely to cause notable price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.