TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the Arizona Cardinals or the Los Angeles Rams defense/special teams scores one or more touchdowns in their October 18, 2026 pro football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 31.0% probability to the LA Rams D/ST scoring 1+ touchdowns, and a 30.0% probability to the ARI Cardinals D/ST doing the same. The market resolves based on official touchdown counts from the game, as determined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on team injury reports leading up to the game on October 18, 2026, as snap participation is a key factor in determining resolution.
These markets resolve if the specified team's defense/special teams scores at least one touchdown during the game. If the unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair price. Once a snap is taken—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on actual touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as special teams touchdowns. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe a particular outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Arizona vs Los Angeles game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future markets based on the verified result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable or unfavorable for passing or running, could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could influence trader behavior and move this market.