TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
In the Arizona versus Los Angeles R Pro Football game set for October 18, 2026, observers will note if neither side claims victory during regulation. A tie resolution occurs when both teams have the same number of points at the end of the scheduled time, resulting in a shared result for the contest.
If neither team wins and the game ends in a tie in the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a tie is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price for a 'tie' outcome will decrease, indicating higher implied probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the broader range of participants in a prediction market. It’s a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a tie. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome. As more people buy contracts predicting a tie, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of participants, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of a tie in the Arizona vs Los Angeles match. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism based on supply and demand.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, though the market is driven primarily by trading activity on Kalshi. Monitoring these signals can help traders anticipate potential shifts in the probability of a tie.