TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the offensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether each team achieves specific yardage thresholds. The outcomes depend solely on the total yards each team gains during the match, reflecting offensive efficiency and strategy.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Arizona or Los Angeles R in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. For each team, separate markets correspond to achieving various yardage thresholds (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, and 450+ yards). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered on.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. As a result, prediction markets often provide more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It’s common to see discrepancies, as sportsbooks may react more slowly to new information or public sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total yards for both teams. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving you insight into the level of conviction behind various predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market is constantly updating its forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yards for both the Arizona and Los Angeles teams will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle based on the combined total yards achieved during the game, as recorded by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total yards range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or rushing offenses, could also shift predictions. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could impact the perceived likelihood of different yardage totals. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media, can also play a role in price fluctuations.