TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:12 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the defensive performance of both teams in an upcoming football game by measuring how many times each team successfully sacks the opposing quarterback. The outcomes depend on whether specific sack thresholds are met, reflecting the intensity of the defensive pressure during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, excluding any sacks made during 2-point conversion attempts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being tracked.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. You might find that this market anticipates changes before sportsbooks do, particularly if new information emerges. However, sportsbook odds are readily available for comparison, and discrepancies can present arbitrage opportunities for those who identify them. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total team sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs are correct.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of team sacks recorded during the Arizona versus Los Angeles game will determine the winning contract. Official game statistics from a reputable source will be used to verify the result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total sacks will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key defensive players on either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be windy or rainy, could also affect the number of sacks. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information regarding player matchups or team tendencies could lead to adjustments in trading activity and price fluctuations.