TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard milestones for specific players in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. The outcome depends on whether designated players achieve various rushing yard thresholds during the full match, including overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but none after halftime (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to kickoff unless the player meets the rushing yard requirement. If the player participates in any play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and players who never participate are subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and all statistics include overtime performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and public sentiment shifts. Polls and analysts’ predictions can also provide a point of comparison, though they often don't capture the dynamic adjustments seen in a live prediction market.
On Kalshi, the market for the NFL rushing yards is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders actively buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage ranges, and the prices reflect the collective assessment of the probability of each outcome. The more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the higher the price for that outcome will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts to changing expectations. The current volume is $5,846.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals from the Arizona versus Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL. Traders who correctly predicted the rushing yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game and any potential factors that could influence the final yardage totals as the resolution date approaches.
Numerous factors could move this market before its resolution date of Oct 19, 2026. The most impactful would be injuries to key players, particularly the starting running backs for Arizona and Los Angeles. Any news regarding their health or playing status would likely cause significant price fluctuations. Game-day weather conditions are also important; inclement weather could lead to a more run-heavy offensive approach, or conversely, limit rushing attempts. Finally, any strategic shifts announced by either coaching staff could influence trader expectations and move the market. The outcome will be confirmed once verifiable from credible public sources.