TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This market also focuses on Kyren Williams' rushing yards in the same game, but payouts increase non-linearly with each additional 10-yard block he achieves. The Yes payout grows rapidly as his yardage climbs, reaching the maximum at 200 or more yards, while No contracts pay the remainder of the total payout pool.
If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Kyren Williams in the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into differing perceptions of the event’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The current price reflects the probability of that total occurring, as determined by the collective actions of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more buyers there are for a particular outcome, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The market depth shows the available liquidity at different price points.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Arizona and Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual rushing yards achieved, and contracts will pay out based on whether the traded total was above or below the final result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the data is officially available. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury reports for key players on either team are significant catalysts, as the absence of a star running back or a key offensive lineman would dramatically shift expectations. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, with rain or snow potentially favoring a more run-heavy offensive approach. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or changes in team personnel could also impact trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis that alters public perception of the teams’ relative strengths could cause the market to move.