TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether a specific player achieves various yardage milestones in a football game between two teams on a set date. The focus is on the player's combined rushing and receiving yards, with different thresholds defining separate outcomes. Settlement depends on the player's performance and participation in the game.
The event resolves based on whether Kyren Williams achieves specified combined rushing and receiving yard thresholds (100+, 125+, or 150+) in the Arizona vs. Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. If Williams is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Williams takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total yards he records during the game. All markets are independent, each corresponding to a different yardage threshold, and each follows the same participation and settlement criteria.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. While sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, this market allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, leading to price discovery based on a wider range of information. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges that isn’t fully factored into sportsbook lines. This difference can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating a greater perceived probability. The market aggregates these individual predictions to arrive at a collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total combined rushing and receiving yards for both the Arizona and Los Angeles teams will be tallied from official game statistics. The final market price will reflect whether the actual combined yardage exceeded or fell short of the market’s implied expectation. The resolution will be based on official data sources and will be determined independently of the platform.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would be significant, as they directly impact potential yardage output. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor either a passing or running game, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced during the week leading up to the game could also play a role. Finally, any news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could prompt traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions.