TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for different athletes. Each market focuses on whether a designated player meets or exceeds a certain reception count during the match. The outcomes are determined purely by the players' performance statistics.
All markets in this event are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the opening kickoff unless the player records the required number of receptions. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half participation. Injury status, injury designations, or being ruled out are not required for protection. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates remains subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies only to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event includes full-game receptions, including overtime. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds which are frequently set by analysts. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases or attempt to balance their risk, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. If sportsbook odds significantly disagree with the price on Kalshi, it may indicate a potential opportunity for informed traders. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total receptions in the Arizona vs Los Angeles game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific reception total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe the total will be higher, the price of contracts representing higher totals will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception count from the Arizona vs Los Angeles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the total number of receptions. The market will then settle based on whether the actual total receptions fall above or below the contract price at the time of resolution. All trading will cease once the outcome is definitively known.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect passing game strategies and therefore the number of receptions. Even late-breaking news about defensive schemes or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment and move the market. Any information that alters expectations about the game’s flow or individual player performance has the potential to move this market.