TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. Participants can bet on whether each player will achieve a certain number of receptions, with payouts scaling based on the actual reception counts recorded during the game.
Each market operates as a scalar betting mechanism where Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception recorded by the specified player, capped at $1.00 for up to 20 receptions. The No contracts pay the remainder of $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are proportional to the holder's position size and adjust dynamically based on the actual number of receptions. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, Yes contracts pay $0.40 and No contracts pay $0.60. If zero receptions are recorded, Yes pays $0.00 and No pays $1.00. This structure applies uniformly across all player-specific markets, each resolving independently based on the receptions tallied for the named player in the game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market may adjust more quickly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market incorporates new data and insights.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants regarding the likely number of receptions in the Arizona vs Los Angeles game, making it a dynamic and informative indicator of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals from the Arizona vs Los Angeles game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official statistics from the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The market will settle based on the total combined receptions achieved by all players participating in the game, as reported by official sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Arizona or Los Angeles teams would be major catalysts. Changes in the projected game script – for example, if the forecast calls for heavy rain, potentially leading to a run-heavy game – could also shift expectations. Unexpected starting lineup announcements or even in-game performance during the first half could cause substantial price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.