TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game, offering multiple thresholds for each player to exceed. The outcome depends on whether any individual player meets or surpasses their designated reception count during the match.
All markets in this event are resolved based on the total receptions recorded by specified players in the Arizona vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market has a primary rule stating that if a named player records a minimum number of receptions (ranging from 2+ to 15+), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the player does not meet this threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' Secondary rules clarify that if a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based on the actual receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each player's reception threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments or the influence of public perception. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate breaking news or late-game changes in player availability, offering a dynamic comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, giving traders insight into the liquidity and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on evolving information and market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of receptions made by players in the Arizona versus Los Angeles game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL statistics will serve as the final data point for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official results are published.