TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The markets cover multiple players and various yardage benchmarks that will be met or not during the full game, including overtime periods.
All markets are designated as protected, meaning if a player participates in at least one play during the first half but does not participate in any play after the conclusion of the first half (including overtime), the contract resolves to the fair price prior to the game's opening kickoff unless the player meets the required yardage threshold, in which case it settles based on actual statistics. If the player participates in at least one play after the first half, the contract settles based on actual statistics regardless of first-half involvement. Participation in a play nullified by penalty does not count, and a player who never participates is subject to the fair price non-participation rule. The protected designation applies exclusively to full-game contracts with an above or at-least payout criterion, and this event considers full game receiving yards including overtime.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the level of conviction among traders regarding each potential result.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards for the relevant players will be sourced from official NFL data. The contract corresponding to the correct receiving yardage range will pay out, while all other contracts will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly the receiving corps or quarterbacks involved, would likely cause substantial shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor passing or running, could also influence trading activity. Late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive strategies could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal shifts in sentiment and lead to price adjustments in this market.