TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific players will achieve a rushing milestone in an upcoming football game between Arizona and Los Angeles. It focuses on the longest run each player makes during the match, with different yardage thresholds for each participant.
The event determines if designated players record a longest rush exceeding specified yardage thresholds in the Arizona vs Los Angeles Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. For each player market, if the athlete is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether their longest rush meets or exceeds the stated yardage threshold. The outcome is strictly based on in-game performance, with no official affiliation between the event and the governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or specific information, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as prediction markets can be more responsive to new information and shifts in public opinion. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with those found at sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest single rushing attempt, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will be used to verify the result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and any relevant data used for resolution on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key running backs, would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could favor a different running style and influence which player is expected to perform best. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive matchups could also move the market. Finally, significant betting activity on Kalshi itself, driven by new information or a change in sentiment, will directly affect the prices.